11 Jul · 15:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BK
🇵🇱Bartosz Kwodawski
ELO 1397
FormLLWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Minda
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1485
FormWWWWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Minda
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+88
H2H9-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-3)