11 Jul · 15:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1374
FormLWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Przewlocki
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1396
FormWWLLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Przewlocki
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 1.98· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+22
H2H7-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.