11 Jul · 23:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1483
FormLWWWW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Gesiarz
KR
🇵🇱Kazimierz Rybak
ELO 1302
FormWLWLL
69%
31%
Fair odds · Gesiarz
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~71 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+181
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+181)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)