11 Jul · 22:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
FM
🇵🇱Filip Mlynarski
ELO 1595
FormWWWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Nowalinski
MN
🇵🇱Maciej Nowalinski
ELO 1688
FormWWLLW
40%
60%
🌟Mlynarski goes over total as underdog 70% (27)
Fair odds · Nowalinski
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 66% · 1.52· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
3-1
16%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+93
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)