11 Jul · 21:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KS
🇵🇱Konrad Staszczyk
ELO 1596
FormWWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Staszczyk
SB
🇵🇱Szymon Brud
ELO 1564
FormWLWLW
53%
47%
🌟Staszczyk stays under total as favourite 71% (17)
Fair odds · Staszczyk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
3-2
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+32
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.