11 Jul · 20:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KS
🇵🇱Konrad Staszczyk
ELO 1596
FormWWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Staszczyk
FM
🇵🇱Filip Mlynarski
ELO 1595
FormWWWWW
50%
50%
🌟Staszczyk stays under total as favourite 71% (17)
Fair odds · Staszczyk
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 39% · 2.53· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+1
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.