11 Jul · 18:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SB
🇵🇱Szymon Brud
ELO 1564
FormWLWLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Nowalinski
MN
🇵🇱Maciej Nowalinski
ELO 1688
FormWWLLW
37%
63%
🌟Nowalinski goes over total as favourite 63% (35)
Fair odds · Nowalinski
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 74% · 1.35· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+124
H2H13-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+124)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-1)