11 Jul · 17:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Daniel Morawiec
ELO 1503
FormLLLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Jedrzejak
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1644
FormWWLWL
35%
65%
Fair odds · Jedrzejak
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 42% · 2.39· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+141
H2H34-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+141)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (34-17)