11 Jul · 17:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
FW
🇵🇱Filip Witczak
ELO 1581
FormWWWWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Witczak
PG
🇵🇱Patryk Gamrot
ELO 1457
FormLLLWW
63%
37%
Fair odds · Witczak
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+124
H2H14-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+124)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-10)