11 Jul · 16:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1644
FormWWLWL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Jedrzejak
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1390
FormWLWLW
75%
25%
🌟Sawicki covers set handicap as underdog 85% (13)
Fair odds · Jedrzejak
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 86% · 1.17· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~76 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+254
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+254)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)