11 Jul · 16:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nosiadek
ELO 1369
FormLLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Nosiadek
AE
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1309
FormLLLWW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Nosiadek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+60
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)