11 Jul · 16:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DM
🇵🇱Daniel Morawiec
ELO 1503
FormLLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Morawiec
PG
🇵🇱Patryk Gamrot
ELO 1457
FormLLLWW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Morawiec
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 65% · 1.53· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+46
H2H21-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-12)