12 Jul · 03:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1488
FormWLWWW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Gesiarz
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1287
FormLLLLW
71%
29%
Fair odds · Gesiarz
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~72 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+201
H2H16-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+201)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-9)