11 Jul · 21:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1488
FormWLWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Janus
SJ
🇵🇱Slawomir Janus
ELO 1568
FormWWWLW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Janus
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 58% · 1.74· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~72 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+80
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)