11 Jul · 20:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1287
FormLLLLW
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Janus
SJ
🇵🇱Slawomir Janus
ELO 1568
FormWWWLW
22%
78%
Fair odds · Janus
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 62%Total ~72 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
28%
2-3
16%
3-2
9%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+281
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+281)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)