11 Jul · 18:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FW
🇵🇱Filip Witczak
ELO 1584
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Jedrzejak
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1634
FormLWWLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Jedrzejak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 28% · 3.60· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+50
H2H29-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-26)