11 Jul · 20:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SJ
🇵🇱Slawomir Janus
ELO 1570
FormWWWWL
77%Win chancemodel fair 1.30Janus
KR
🇵🇱Kazimierz Rybak
ELO 1297
FormLWLWL
77%
23%
Fair odds · Janus
Model 77% · 1.30vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~70 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+273
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+273)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)