11 Jul · 20:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1456
FormLLWLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Kubiak
AK
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1563
FormWWLWW
38%
62%
🌟Kubiak covers set handicap as favourite 71% (31)
Fair odds · Kubiak
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+107
H2H27-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+107)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-9)