11 Jul · 19:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nosiadek
ELO 1367
FormLLWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Gronowski
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gronowski
ELO 1443
FormLLWWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Gronowski
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+76
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)