12 Jul · 00:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1474
FormWLWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Mleczko
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gronowski
ELO 1421
FormLLLLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Mleczko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+53
H2H13-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-10)