11 Jul · 23:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MD
🇵🇱Michal Durda
ELO 1604
FormWLWWL
83%Win chancemodel fair 1.20Durda
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1248
FormLLLLL
83%
17%
Fair odds · Durda
Model 83% · 1.20vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 70%Total ~71 pts
3-0
41%
3-1
29%
3-2
13%
2-3
8%
1-3
6%
Elo Gap+356
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+356)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)