11 Jul · 23:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
LP
🇵🇱Lukasz Pyda
ELO 1218
FormLLLLL
82%Win chancemodel fair 1.22Kubiak
AK
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1566
FormLWWWW
18%
82%
🌟Kubiak covers set handicap as favourite 71% (31)
Fair odds · Kubiak
Model 82% · 1.22vsMarket 80% · 1.26· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 70%Total ~72 pts
0-3
41%
1-3
29%
2-3
13%
3-2
8%
3-1
6%
Elo Gap+348
H2H63-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+348)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (63-5)