11 Jul · 23:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RS
🇵🇱Robert Szymik
ELO 1543
FormWWLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Juszczyk
KJ
🇵🇱Krzysztof Juszczyk
ELO 1545
FormWWWLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Juszczyk
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H21-66
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.