Rafal Adach vs Michal Durda — TT Elite Series

← TT Elite Series predictions

11 Jul · 20:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Rafal Adach

ELO 1427

2-3Final setsDurda won

🇵🇱Michal Durda

ELO 1604

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Durda at 68%. The actual result was Michal Durda 2-3 — the pick was correct.

Rafal Adach — profile →Michal Durda — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Michal Durda favoured — closing 1.29

Favourite won

Total 74.5

97 points played

Over

Set handicap

Michal Durda −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Michal Durda −7.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

closing 2.57

Over

Exact score

market priced 2-3 at close

4.1

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Adach is favoured to win, below means Michal Durda.

▲ Rafal Adachpre 34% → final 0%

Michal Durda ▼

Biggest swing 66 ptsDurda recovered from 34%72 points · 5 games