12 Jul · 01:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1442
FormWWLWL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Adach
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1243
FormLLLLL
71%
29%
Fair odds · Adach
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~71 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+199
H2H30-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+199)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (30-19)