12 Jul · 02:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1464
FormWWWLL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Fomin
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1677
FormWWWWW
28%
72%
🌟Fomin goes over total as favourite 65% (34)
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 56% · 1.78· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~75 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+213
H2H14-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+213)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)