12 Jul · 04:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1644
FormLLWWW
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Fomin
JD
🇵🇱Jerzy Debski
ELO 1422
FormLLLLL
73%
27%
🌟Fomin goes over total as favourite 65% (34)
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 33% · 2.99· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~74 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+222
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+222)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)