12 Jul · 04:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
LP
🇵🇱Lukasz Pyda
ELO 1231
FormWWLLL
90%Win chancemodel fair 1.11Oracz
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1735
FormWLWLW
10%
90%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 90% · 1.11vsMarket 90% · 1.12· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 76%Total ~70 pts
0-3
49%
1-3
26%
2-3
14%
3-2
5%
3-1
3%
Elo Gap+504
H2H47-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+504)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (47-2)