12 Jul · 05:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MD
🇵🇱Michal Durda
ELO 1621
FormWWWWW
85%Win chancemodel fair 1.18Durda
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1234
FormLLLLL
85%
15%
Fair odds · Durda
Model 85% · 1.18vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 72%Total ~71 pts
3-0
42%
3-1
30%
3-2
13%
2-3
7%
1-3
5%
Elo Gap+387
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+387)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)