12 Jul · 05:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1462
FormWWWWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Adach
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1362
FormWLLLL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Adach
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~74 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+100
H2H38-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (38-21)