12 Jul · 05:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RS
🇵🇱Robert Szymik
ELO 1528
FormWLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Juszczyk
KJ
🇵🇱Krzysztof Juszczyk
ELO 1531
FormLLWWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Juszczyk
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H21-67
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.