12 Jul · 04:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1480
FormLWWWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Kubiak
AK
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1579
FormWWLWL
39%
61%
🌟Kubiak covers set handicap as favourite 71% (31)
Fair odds · Kubiak
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 66% · 1.52· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+99
H2H28-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-9)