12 Jul · 06:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Marek Kowol
ELO 1412
FormWWWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Kowol
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1306
FormLLLWL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Kowol
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 45% · 2.21· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+106
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+106)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)