12 Jul · 06:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Robert Szymik
ELO 1528
FormWLLLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Szymik
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1359
FormLWLLL
68%
32%
Fair odds · Szymik
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 73% · 1.36· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~75 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+169
H2H104-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+169)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (104-27)