12 Jul · 09:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1480
FormLWWWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Koczyba
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1579
FormWWLWL
39%
61%
Fair odds · Koczyba
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 73% · 1.36· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~79 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+99
H2H30-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (30-15)