12 Jul · 08:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1321
FormWLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Gluszek
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1294
FormLWLLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Gluszek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+27
H2H50-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.