12 Jul · 08:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1309
FormLLLLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Dabrowski
ID
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1444
FormLWLLW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Dabrowski
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+135
H2H10-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+135)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-5)