12 Jul · 08:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1427
FormWWLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Urban
DJ
🇵🇱Dawid Jedrysik
ELO 1353
FormLLWLL
58%
42%
🌟Urban goes over total as favourite 77% (13)
Fair odds · Urban
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+74
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)