12 Jul · 08:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WI
🇵🇱Wojciech Iwasyszyn
ELO 1385
FormWWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Piotrowski
TP
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1450
FormWWLLL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Piotrowski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+65
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)