12 Jul · 10:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WI
🇵🇱Wojciech Iwasyszyn
ELO 1385
FormWWLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Iwasyszyn
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1309
FormLLLLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Iwasyszyn
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 52% · 1.91· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+76
H2H6-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-2)