12 Jul · 10:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1427
FormWWLLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Koczyba
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1579
FormWWLWL
34%
66%
Fair odds · Koczyba
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+152
H2H20-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+152)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-12)