12 Jul · 09:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KJ
🇵🇱Karol Jablonski
ELO 1366
FormLLLLL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Jadach
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1575
FormLLWLL
28%
72%
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 67% · 1.50· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~75 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+209
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+209)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)