12 Jul · 09:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
TP
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1458
FormWWWLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Piotrowski
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1309
FormLLLLW
66%
34%
Fair odds · Piotrowski
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+149
H2H73-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+149)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (73-14)