12 Jul · 09:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
LB
🇵🇱Lukasz Bernacki
ELO 1515
FormWLLLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Bernacki
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1340
FormWLLLW
68%
32%
Fair odds · Bernacki
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 69% · 1.44· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~77 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+175
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+175)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)