12 Jul · 11:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KJ
🇵🇱Karol Jablonski
ELO 1361
FormLLLLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Bernacki
LB
🇵🇱Lukasz Bernacki
ELO 1518
FormWWLLL
33%
67%
Fair odds · Bernacki
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~75 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+157
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+157)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)