12 Jul · 10:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1475
FormLWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kurek
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1517
FormWLWWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Kurek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 61% · 1.63· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+42
H2H2-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+42)