12 Jul · 10:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1527
FormWLLWL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Oracz
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1337
FormLWLLL
70%
30%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 53%Total ~77 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
26%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+190
H2H10-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+190)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-9)