12 Jul · 12:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KJ
🇵🇱Karol Jablonski
ELO 1370
FormWLLLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Oracz
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1531
FormWWLLW
33%
67%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 61% · 1.63· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~75 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+161
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+161)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)