12 Jul · 12:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
WS
🇵🇱Waclaw Suchecki
ELO 1380
FormLWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kowol
MK
🇵🇱Marek Kowol
ELO 1411
FormWWLLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Kowol
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 27% · 3.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+31
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.