12 Jul · 11:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1333
FormLLWLL
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Jadach
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1570
FormWLLLW
26%
74%
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~76 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+237
H2H9-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+237)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-4)